On-Chain Data Indicates Bitcoin Investor Capitulation

In Crypto Regulations
June 29, 2026

On-Chain Data Indicates Bitcoin Investor Capitulation

The number of spent UTXOs at a loss has reached peak levels, indicating the onset of a capitulation phase among Bitcoin holders. This was highlighted by an analyst using the pseudonym Darkfost.

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Source: Darkfost/X.

This signal has appeared for the first time since the correction began in October 2025. The expert noted that such periods have “always been profitable for long-term investors,” as they begin to accumulate the asset.

Meanwhile, analyst Lukasz Wydra pointed to the confirmation of a “bullish divergence” for Bitcoin on the RSI chart.

He emphasized that the decline slowed at $59,000, as the anticipated panic among investors did not materialize.

At the same time, technical analyst Niels expects a deeper bottom for the digital gold. He considers the key zone to be around $55,000—after reaching this level, the coin may change direction.

How Does a Bottom Form?

Swissblock describes three phases of bottom formation:

  1. Breakdown. Momentum sharply turns negative as selling pressure intensifies.
  2. Base Formation. Price stabilizes, momentum remains weak, while Bitcoin’s dynamics become neutral. Selling pressure is still being absorbed.
  3. Recovery. Initially, Bitcoin’s momentum turns positive, followed by price recovery. Only then does a sustainable upward trend begin to form.
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Source: Swissblock/X.

According to experts, the first cryptocurrency has likely already passed the first phase. The market is currently in the base formation stage.

In June, analysts warned of weak buying demand for Bitcoin.

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Steven M. Crimmins is a cryptocurrency strategist and freelance writer who has followed the blockchain industry since Bitcoin’s early days. Known for his sharp analysis of altcoins and trading strategies, Steven provides Satoshi News Africa readers with market-focused content grounded in research. He is especially interested in how African traders are adopting crypto as an alternative to traditional markets. Steven is also a podcast host, where he discusses emerging technologies and investment trends.